At an assumed 6% inflation, a household spending ₹50,000 a month today needs about ₹1.6 lakh a month in 20 years. At 7% it is about ₹1.93 lakh. Your salary has to double and then some just to stand still, and your investments have to outrun that gap.
Inflation is compounding in reverse: every year prices rise on top of last year's higher prices. Here is what a ₹50,000 monthly expense becomes under three assumed inflation rates (rounded, illustrative only).
| Years from now | At 6% | At 7% | At 8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ₹89,500 | ₹98,400 | ₹1,07,900 |
| 15 | ₹1,19,800 | ₹1,38,000 | ₹1,58,600 |
| 20 | ₹1,60,400 | ₹1,93,500 | ₹2,33,000 |
| 25 | ₹2,14,600 | ₹2,71,400 | ₹3,42,400 |
| 30 | ₹2,87,200 | ₹3,80,600 | ₹5,03,100 |
The jump between 6% and 8% looks small per year, but over 30 years it nearly doubles the final number. That is why using the right rate per goal matters.
Using one flat "6%" for everything understates some goals. As planning assumptions:
So a retirement plan built on 6% quietly under-saves, and a child's education plan built on 6% can fall short by a wide margin.
A quick rule of thumb: at 6% inflation, prices double roughly every 12 years (the "rule of 72": 72 divided by 6).
List each goal, attach its own inflation rate, and convert the target into future rupees. Then size a separate SIP for each goal. Plan Our Future's 6-step goal plan does this per goal and shifts the equity, debt and gold mix toward safer assets as each goal date nears. All figures are assumptions under current conditions, not predictions, and not personalised advice.
Q. What inflation rate should I assume for long-term planning?
A. Around 6% for general expenses is a common planning assumption. Use higher rates for education (about 10%), medical (about 8%) and retirement lifestyle (about 7%). Actual inflation will vary year to year.
Q. Does my salary keep up with inflation automatically?
A. Not necessarily. Raises that are below inflation reduce your real income. Compare your yearly hike with about 6% to see if you are really getting ahead.
Q. How do I calculate the future cost of any expense?
A. Multiply today's cost by (1 + inflation rate) raised to the number of years. For example, ₹1 lakh at 6% for 10 years becomes about ₹1.79 lakh.
Q. Is a fixed deposit enough to beat inflation?
A. Post-tax FD returns are often close to or below inflation, so they may preserve value but add little real growth. For goals more than five years away, a mix that includes growth assets is commonly considered; please confirm with a qualified adviser or CA for tax treatment.
Plan Our Future · AMFI-registered Mutual Fund Distributor (ARN-360754). Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.